The weeks leading up to the College Football Playoff selection have us wondering: Who's in?
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times, and those who have followed it have seen huge returns.
No.3 If Georgia loses and if Utah and Oklahoma both win who gets the four spot.
Here's what you need to know about the Power Five conference championship games and what they could mean for the four-team playoff, which will be announced Sunday.
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Replace: Utah's 37-15 loss to Oregon Saturday eliminates the Utes from Playoff competition.
There's a 9% chance that Baylor, LSU and OR win, which would make Baylor the most likely team to nab the fourth spot (the Allstate Playoff Predictor also thinks that in a Baylor vs. Utah showdown for the fourth spot Baylor would at least have a chance, though the Utes are more likely to get in). Utah has to do everything it can to separate itself from the eventual Big 12 victor, assuming the top-3 teams also win.
Jalen Hurts #1 of the Oklahoma Sooners reacts on the field before a game against the Baylor Bears at McLane Stadium on November 16, 2019 in Waco, Texas.
"It should be Utah, but I have a feeling it's going to be Oklahoma", Sunset Station sportsbook director Chuck Esposito said. It'll be a rematch from earlier this season, when the Sooners overcame a 28-3 deficit to beat Baylor 34-31 in Waco, Texas. In conference play last season, Penn State finished with seven wins and 14 losses, while Ohio State won nine games and lost 13. LSU, meanwhile, is in its first title game since 2011, and handicappers are pointing to an expected advantage for the Tigers.
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Georgia has the nation's No. 2 scoring defense, allowing foes an average of 10.4 points. But if Georgia wins, then the SEC might get two teams in. Don't forget about one year ago, it took a pick-six to decide the PAC-12 Championship game, it could happen again. Its strength of schedule is just too weak to go 12-1 and still get in. OR throttles Utah within the Pac-12 championship sport, Baylor destroys Oklahoma and Virginia beats Clemson by three touchdowns, leaving little question the Cavs are the superior crew (simply work with us right here).
Let's say Clemson locks up its playoff spot by cruising past Virginia in the ACC championship game, Utah beats No. 13 OR in the Pac-12 championship game and the Big 12 game is a one-score game between Oklahoma and Baylor. Is there a chance that a two-loss team - don't make us say No. 9 Alabama - could crack the field?
It's one of the biggest pieces of the entire bowl puzzle, and not just for the Big Ten.
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