The United States may get hit by two to four major hurricanes before the end of the 2019 hurricane season.
A trough of low pressure over the Bay of Campeche has a medium chance for development in the next 5 days as it drifts northward through the western Gulf.
The system is expected to begin moving northeast toward the US Gulf Coast, with a potential landfall along the north-central Gulf region Saturday.
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The disturbance, which could become Tropical Storm Nestor, had maximum sustained winds of 35 mph (55 kmh) and was located about 600 miles (965 kilometers) southwest of the mouth of the Mississippi River. It is not expected to strengthen into a hurricane.
The NHC gives the storm a 90 percent chance of forming into a tropical storm over the next 48 hours. Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen is in the west-central Gulf of Mexico.
A tropical storm warning is in effect from the mississippi/alabama border to the ochlockonee river, Florida.
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Forecasters say it's still too early to tell where the system may go but they recommend those living along the northern Gulf Coast, including Florida, continue to monitor the system in the next few days.
If this were to become the next named storm of the season, it would be called Nestor.
Tropical storm watches have been issued from Ochlockonee River, Florida to Yankeetown, Florida.
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Forecasters noted that if it is a subtropical system "rain and wind impacts will possibly extend far from the center", which means rain - perhaps beneficial drought-busting rain - could be possible in parts of Alabama over the weekend.