Partly cloudy and hot today with only isolated showers and thunderstorms possible. It will remain warm and muggy with highs in the lower 90s and heat index values near 103. Mostly clear skies continue tonight, with lows around 73°.
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Thursday and Friday will be quite hot with highs in the upper-90s. When it moves into the Gulf, it will likely encounter more favorable development conditions, where it could then organize. "This will provide the area with increasing breezes and periods of heavy tropical rainfall Friday-Sunday". One is located east of the Lesser Antilles and has a 10% chance of development during the next five days. There is still some uncertainty on where this wave will track and how much more it will develop so we will continue watching it and will have updates as new data comes in. The National Hurricane center is forecasting a 20% chance of tropical development within the next 2 days, which increases to a 20% chance within the next 5 days. This system is expected to move west and into unfavorable wind conditions giving it only a 10 percent chance of becoming a tropical depression in the next 48 hours and another 10 percent within the next five days.
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Forecasters with the National Hurricane Center have both hands full of tropical weather systems to keep tabs on during this, the peak of the Hurricane Season.
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For the system nearest to the U.S. the see a 0% chance of formation into a tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours, rising to 30% over the next 5 days. For now, it's a good time to check over your supplies, but generally prepare for more rain Sunday into Monday. The GFS operational run shows a closed low developing, but its ensembles do not.