There is a 75 percent chance that the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season will be "near-or above-normal", the agency said. But the start of summer also signals the start of the Atlantic hurricane season.
"When you are predicting an active season, that's when you have more storms forming in the tropical Atlantic, and those storms tend to track farther west", Bell said.
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through November 30, though Bell notes the peak of the season is in August, September, and October.
The Climate Prediction Center's outlook, which is calling for 10 to 16 named storms; 5 to 9 hurricanes - 1 to 4 potentially major - comes in close to the extended forecast figures released in early April by Phil Klotzbach of Colorado State University. He said, " Some years we are doing really well, and some other years when conditions are more hard to predict, everyone fails and we fail as well".
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The organization explained the causes for the potentially destructive season is a weak El Nino developing and near-average sea surface temperatures in the Caribbean Sea and certain tropical areas of the Atlantic Ocean. The Eastern Pacific outlook calls for a 70 percent probability of 14 to 20 named storms, of which 7 to 12 are expected to become hurricanes, including 3 to 7 major hurricanes.
Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross said improving technology allows scientists to be more accurate with their projections.
Jacobs made the announcement Friday morning during a NOAA news conference in Florida.
Dr. Lian Xie says there is conflicting data this year-one model says the season will only be slightly more active than usual, while another is predicting many more storms.
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These are the names assigned to the tropical storms or hurricanes that may form in the Atlantic Ocean in 2018.
During the upcoming season, there is a 70 percent chance of 10 to 16 named storms developing, with winds of 39 miles per hour (63 km/h) or higher.
"Right now we're not seeing any strong climate signals that say the season would be as strong as a year ago", said Bell. That's especially true if a storm hits communities in Puerto Rico or along the Gulf Coast that are still struggling to recover from the devastation caused by Maria and Harvey previous year.
The NOAA prediction promises somewhat of a respite this year, compared with the "furious season" seen in 2017 - the most active season since 2005, and the seventh most active season on record, NOAA reported in its 2017 hurricane season wrap-up.
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Hurricanes Irma and Maria also spread a wide path of destruction past year.